Relating the future to the past: asymptotically autonomous systems and applications in climate dynamics
November 11, 2024
1:00 pm 646 PGH
Abstract
This talk will discuss ongoing research to understand practical
aspects of the behaviour of non-autonomous systems (ie dynamical
systems where the rules of evolution that change with time). Although
non-autonomous systems are well studied, it remains hard to make
general statements about attracting behaviour without limiting to a
specific category. Such a category is the class of asymptotically
autonomous systems, where there are autonomous past and future limits.
Using the concepts of pullback attractor it is possible to understand
sudden changes are often termed tipping points. Particularly
interesting consequences relate to predictability of ensembles in
cases where the past limit attractor is chaotic, and a concept of a
nonautonomous physical measure is needed. We discuss applications to
the dynamics of simple climate models.
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